Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.000101 0.000119 0.000139 0.000160 0.000184 0.000210 0.000239
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.000076 0.000099 0.000126 0.000158 0.000195 0.000236 0.000284
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.000064 0.000090 0.000120 0.000158 0.000204 0.000256 0.000318
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.000053 0.000081 0.000115 0.000160 0.000214 0.000277 0.000355
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.000045 0.000074 0.000110 0.000159 0.000220 0.000292 0.000383
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.000036 0.000065 0.000102 0.000154 0.000221 0.000301 0.000404
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.000033 0.000062 0.000102 0.000159 0.000233 0.000323 0.000440
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.000027 0.000054 0.000095 0.000153 0.000231 0.000329 0.000456
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000023 0.000051 0.000092 0.000154 0.000238 0.000344 0.000483
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000020 0.000047 0.000089 0.000152 0.000241 0.000354 0.000505
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000018 0.000046 0.000090 0.000158 0.000254 0.000377 0.000543
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000016 0.000043 0.000087 0.000158 0.000258 0.000390 0.000567
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000012 0.000038 0.000082 0.000153 0.000258 0.000396 0.000586
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000010 0.000034 0.000079 0.000153 0.000262 0.000410 0.000613
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000008 0.000031 0.000076 0.000152 0.000267 0.000423 0.000639
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000007 0.000030 0.000075 0.000154 0.000275 0.000441 0.000673
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.000006 0.000027 0.000072 0.000152 0.000278 0.000451 0.000697
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.000004 0.000024 0.000067 0.000148 0.000277 0.000457 0.000713
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.000004 0.000023 0.000068 0.000153 0.000288 0.000479 0.000752
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.000003 0.000020 0.000063 0.000147 0.000285 0.000481 0.000764
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.000002 0.000018 0.000062 0.000148 0.000290 0.000495 0.000793
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.000002 0.000017 0.000059 0.000147 0.000293 0.000505 0.000815
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.000001 0.000017 0.000061 0.000152 0.000306 0.000530 0.000859